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Jul 27, 2026 - World

Amid the ongoing and deeply unpopular war against Iran, foreign policy analyst Trita Parsi floated an ominous theory Monday suggesting that the United States could soon be dragged into a second war.Parsi’s warning came just days after Iran’s Foreign Ministry claimed Ukraine had struck an Iranian shipping vessel in the Caspian Sea, killing one and injuring others. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy acknowledged that Ukraine had carried out strikes in the Caspian Sea that included “vessels used in military cargo shipments involving Iran.”As to how Ukraine’s recent strikes could drag the United States into a second war, Parsi laid out his theory clearly in a statement published Monday on Substack.“Ukraine is not trying to just enter the war with Iran. Rather, it appears it is trying to merge the Ukraine war with the Iran war,” Parsi, the co-founder of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, wrote.“Why? Because if these two wars merge, Ukraine will be a belligerent in the Iran war and America will be a belligerent in the Ukraine war. That is, the US will no longer just be arming Ukraine, but also actively and openly fighting Russia with US personnel.”Furthermore, Parsi alleged that Zelenskyy had sought to pull the United States into a hot war with Russia “since 2022.” Similar allegations were floated in 2022 after Zelenskyy pressed NATO to impose a no-fly zone over Ukraine. Zelenskyy’s request was denied, with then-NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg warning that doing so could spark “a full-fledged war in Europe.”“The only way to implement a no-fly zone is to send Nato fighter planes into Ukraine’s airspace, and then impose that no-fly zone by shooting down Russian planes,” Stoltenberg said at the time.Zelenskyy lashed out at NATO after it had rejected its request, accusing NATO leadership of having given “the green light for further bombing of Ukrainian cities and villages.”Ukraine is not trying to just enter the war with Iran. Rather, it appears it is trying to merge the Ukraine war with the Iran war.Why? Because if these two wars merge, Ukraine will be a belligerent in the Iran war and America will be a belligerent in the Ukraine war.That is, the US will no longer just be arming Ukraine, but also actively and openly fighting Russia with US personnel. That is the key objective Zelensky has tried to achieve since 2022... - Trita ParsiRead on Substack

Jul 27, 2026 - World

On July 6, political scientist Robert Pape made an ominous prediction that an "August energy shock" could send global oil prices skyrocketing, but on Monday, a recent development led him to double down and forecast an even bigger shock to come.Last week, the Yemeni military organization the Houthis implemented a new maritime blockade on Saudi Arabian energy exports through the Red Sea, and over the weekend, Saudi Arabia launched attacks against the Houthis after its oil tankers came under fire.“After Houthi attacks on Saudi oil tankers, over 40% of Saudi oil bypassing Hormuz via the Red Sea is not hitting the global market. More attacks could reduce this further,” Pape, a professor at the University of Chicago, wrote in an analysis published Monday on his Substack. “By opening an active Red Sea front through its regional partners while keeping Hormuz closed, Iran [is] no longer presenting Washington with one maritime challenge. It is creating a two-front war problem in strategically linked theaters that must be managed at the same time.”Pape predicted as far back as June 15 that Iran was well positioned to “exploit the oil inventory clock” and weaponize rising oil prices to its advantage. He reiterated that analysis on July 6 and more explicitly predicted that an “energy shock” could hit global markets in August.Energy prices have, in fact, increased significantly since Pape’s initial prediction. With the United States having ramped up attacks on Iran starting earlier this month, gas prices have since soared in the United States to an average of $4.10 a gallon as of Friday, and are “poised to climb higher,” per NBC News.“In my July 6 briefing, I warned that the earlier prediction was on track,” Pape wrote. “The developments of the past week reinforce that strategic logic and likely make the coming shock more severe.”

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