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Oct 27, 2026 - World

Early exit polls from Israel's high-stakes election set off a wave of stunned reactions online, with observers zeroing in on one unexpected kingmaker.Israel's Channel 12 exit poll put the opposition bloc at 52 seats, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc at 50 and Arab parties at 18, CNN reported Tuesday."This is a DRAMATIC result," Omri Marian, an internationally recognized tax law professor at the University of California, Irvine, and an Israeli expat, wrote on Bluesky. "Palestinians with Israeli citizenship hold all the leverage."Marian then laid out four possible outcomes, including Jewish opposition parties breaking their campaign vow not to partner with Arab parties, another election, a unity government with Netanyahu's Likud party or a short-lived minority coalition. He feared the unity option, under which "Bibi goes free even though he is not PM." "I worry this is where we might end up," he wrote.UC Irvine political scientist Sara Wallace Goodman asked whether a caretaker government and another election were next. Marian agreed that a minority coalition would send Israel back to the polls "within a few months."William Adler, a professor of political science at Northeastern Illinois University, was skeptical the math would translate into power. "Seems like the only way to majority government is Arab parties and it won't happen," he wrote. Marian replied, "That's what I worry, but everyone saw it coming."George Pearkes, a markets strategist, noted that two networks showed Netanyahu's bloc trailing while a third, Channel 14, showed it ahead, adding that turnout two hours before polls closed was the highest since 1988. "Man this is going to be CHAOS," he wrote. Justin Joque, a University of Michigan media scholar, cast doubt on the outlier, noting that Channel 14's pre-election polls had Netanyahu winning even as other surveys moved the opposite way.Others urged caution. Eric Columbus, a Lawfare senior editor and former Justice Department official, shared a reminder from New York Times correspondent Yair Rosenberg that Israeli exit polls miss the final hours of voting, when the right has sometimes surged. "Too soon to pop any corks?" Columbus asked.

Oct 27, 2026 - World

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's party alliance is narrowly trailing his top rival's coalition, exit polls of voters in the country's elections showed Tuesday.A poll from Israeli TV network Channel 12 projected Netanyahu's side winning 50 of the 120 seats in Israel's parliament, known as the Knesset, NBC News reported. Parties aligned with Netanyahu's rival, Gadi Eisenkot, a former head of Israel's military, would take 52. Neither side would reach the 61 seats needed to form a government.Turnout hit 74.3% by 8 p.m. local time, the highest for that hour since 1988, in Israel's first national election since Hamas' Oct. 7, 2023, attack sparked the war in Gaza.The polls closed at 10 p.m. local time, which is 4 p.m. ET.

Oct 27, 2026 - World

A mystery is unfolding around a close ally of President Donald Trump who is reportedly headed to the United States after suffering a stunning election defeat in Brazil.Brazilian Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, who unexpectedly lost the presidential election to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, is traveling to the U.S. after failing to surrender his passports as ordered by Brazil’s Supreme Court, two sources told CNN.CNN senior White House reporter Kevin Liptak described the development as a “strange story,” noting that Bolsonaro’s whereabouts had remained “a mystery” for several days.“He has been under investigation by the Supreme Court,” Liptak reported Tuesday. “The Supreme Court had asked him to turn in his passports by yesterday, so by Monday. He didn't do that.”Bolsonaro, who denies wrongdoing, reportedly feared arrest amid an investigation into alleged corruption, money laundering and currency evasion.Liptak raised questions about whether Trump, who has suggested Brazil’s election may have been rigged, could offer his political ally protection. “The real question now is whether Bolsonaro will be seeking some kind of asylum from the Trump administration,” Liptak said, also questioning whether the White House might have helped facilitate his departure. The reporter pointed to a striking family precedent involving Bolsonaro’s father, former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who also traveled to the United States after losing an election to Lula.“Actually, while he was in the U.S., he was a guest at various points at Mar-a-Lago,” Liptak noted Tuesday.The elder Bolsonaro later returned to Brazil, where he was sentenced to 27 years in prison.“What happens next, I think, is a little unclear,” Liptak said.

Oct 27, 2026 - World

A recent “political earthquake” just shattered the hopes of those seeking to make a quiet fortune with Donald Trump’s help — and yes, they include the president’s family, political experts contend. The official ouster of Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić by a group of politicized students foretells dark times ahead for developers in Trump’s orbit, Professor Vesko Garčević, a former ambassador from Montenegro in the Balkans, told Raw Story. “An autocratic leader is toppled,” Garčević, who wrote a book called Montenegro and Serbia: A Velvet Divorce?, said. “This is a blow for people who wanted to make a profit.”Vučić, the increasingly authoritarian leader of the Serbian Progressive Party, has been fighting for control of his country since 2024, when protests erupted over the deaths of 16 people in a concrete canopy collapse at the Novi Sad railway station.The government’s violent attacks on protesters only fueled the flames of resistance from Serbians who demanded accountability and an end to political corruption. Finally, on Oct. 25, The Student List, a progressive movement of academics and public figures that led the charge, won an electoral victory that saw them claim 141 of the 250 seats in the Serbian parliament. Vučić’s Serbian Progressive Party won just 103. It remains unclear who will step forward to lead the party. Potential candidates include Ilija Srdanović, a cardiologist; Dejan Šoškić, a former central bank governor; and Radomir Saičić, a Belgrade University chemistry professor. But Garčević, now a Boston University professor of international relations, predicts a positive shift for the people of Serbia, the Balkans, and the European Union. “The political earthquake in Serbia will reshape political dynamics among Serbs across the region,” Garčević wrote in a private social media post shared with Raw Story. “It could weaken hard-core nationalists and might create space for more moderate voices and ideas to gain ground.” In conversation with Raw Story, Garčević initially contended the election results were good news “for everyone,” then adjusted his comment to make an exclusion: Jared Kushner. Without Vučić’s support, the future looks dark for the $500 million hotel Kushner hoped to build on the site of Belgrade’s historic General Staff building, Garčević argued. Recent reporting from The Guardian revealed Vučić himself — as he appeared on podcasts with Donald Trump Jr. and made offerings of suckling pig — pressured his government in February 2024 to break the law for Ivanka’s husband and strip the General Staff building of its landmark protections. Protests erupted once again when details leaked to the public, and abuse of power charges against Serbian officials involved were brought last December. Vučić denied wrongdoing and Kushner’s company announced the project would not proceed “at this time,” according to The Guardian. Garčević said Tuesday the odds are now very slim that the Student List will ever allow Kushner's time to come. “Given what got them to power, an agenda that is very tough on murky projects like that one, it would be against their own interests,” Garčević said. “It is highly unlikely the project will be continued.”But the General Staff building does not represent the Trump family's lone investment in the Balkans by a long shot, Garčević noted.Those investments include plans to pump American fuel in pipelines that once carried Russian energy, the subject of an international scandal that contributed to former Greece Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle — and Trump Jr.’s ex-fiancée — stepping down, as recent Wall Street Journal reporting has revealed. “Using a pretext to diversify energy supply to the region, which by itself is a good [thing], this administration promotes the interests of particular people,” Garčević said. “Those are billion-dollar projects — you can imagine how much one might profit out of it.”They also include Kushner and Ivanka Trump’s plans to build luxury developments on protected grounds in Albania, where protesters in the Flamingo Revolution are now demanding Prime Minister Edi Rama resign. Now, with Vučić’s fall, Balkan power brokers will be left wondering if selling off swaths of territory to Trumps is worth the political price, according to Walter Russell Meade, the Global View Columnist at The Wall Street Journal. “Vucic stood out in Europe for his interest in using economic incentives to build ties with the Trump inner circle,” Meade wrote. “Like [Hungary's former Prime Minister] Viktor Orbán last spring, Mr. Vucic, who conceded Sunday, learned that warm relations with Mr. Trump’s White House don’t always impress the voters at home.”Garčević told Raw Story such leaders' gambits fail for a simple reason, and noted that before the Novi Sad railway collapse riots spurred the collapse of Vučić’s government, Serbians had united in protests against lithium mining in Serbia's Jadar Valley.“For them it was their home,” Garčević said. “They didn’t want their home to get spoiled for somebody’s profit.”

Oct 27, 2026 - World

A new book on Jared Kushner’s dealings with Middle Eastern leaders alleges that the United Arab Emirates paid Donald Trump’s son-in-law millions for helping oust a secretary of state the Emiratis found troublesome.The New Republic’s Edith Olmsted reported the allegation Tuesday. It comes from author Matthew Cole’s book “Princes and Thieves: Jared Kushner and Mohamed bin Zayed’s Secret Plot to Remake the Middle East,” excerpts of which have already drawn fire over claims that Kushner had access to Gulf money while serving in the White House.According to the book, the UAE paid Kushner to help push out then-Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, who, in Olmsted’s words, “had allegedly become extremely cozy with the Qataris.”Tillerson had publicly opposed the Saudi- and Emirati-led blockade of Qatar during his 2017–2018 tenure, and both Gulf nations lobbied for his removal, according to The New Republic. Trump announced his firing on Twitter in March 2018. Cole writes that Kushner had quietly pushed for Tillerson’s exit for months.“In Abu Dhabi and Riyadh, Tillerson’s removal proved once again Kushner’s influence with his father-in-law,” Cole wrote.A source familiar with the arrangement told Cole that Kushner urged Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, known as MBZ, “to speed up their agreed-upon payment,” The New Republic reported. MBZ was then Abu Dhabi’s crown prince and is now the UAE’s president. According to the book, $50 million was routed through Azerbaijan to a Cyprus bank account for Kushner a month later.The book’s financial allegations rely on unnamed sources, and Kushner’s attorney has denied that he sought or accepted money from MBZ or held a Cyprus account. Kushner has called the book’s earlier claims “completely insane, categorically false,” and his lawyers have called an excerpt “defamatory per se.”In a 2018 interview with The New Yorker, Tillerson said he knew who was leaking damaging stories about him. Sources told the magazine he meant Kushner.Cole also writes that Tillerson’s ouster caused a panic in Qatar. In late March or early April 2018, according to the book, Qatari officials quietly told Kushner they would help him secure his struggling property at 666 Fifth Avenue in Manhattan. Trump later appeared to soften his stance on Qatar, though it’s unclear what, if anything, he knew about the deal, The New Republic noted.